Allan Lichtman

Allan Jay Lichtman (; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian. He has taught at American University in Washington, D.C., since 1973.

Lichtman created the Keys to the White House model with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. The model uses 13 true/false criteria to predict whether the presidential candidate of the incumbent party will win or lose the next election. Using this model, Lichtman has accurately predicted the outcome of most U.S. presidential elections since 1984, with the exceptions of 2000, where he predicted an Al Gore victory (but did say his model only pertained to the popular vote), and 2016, where he predicted a Donald Trump popular-vote victory and afterward revised his model to note it picked the Electoral College winner. He ran for the U.S. Senate seat from Maryland in 2006 and finished sixth in the Democratic primary. In 2017, Lichtman published ''The Case for Impeachment'', laying out multiple arguments for the impeachment of Donald Trump. Provided by Wikipedia