Lucky How Joe Biden barely won the presidency

Jonathan Allen

Book - 2021

Almost no one thought Joe Biden could make it back to the White House--not Donald Trump, not the two dozen Democratic rivals who sought to take down a weak front-runner, not the mega-donors and key endorsers who feared he could not beat Bernie Sanders, not even Barack Obama. The story of Biden's cathartic victory in the 2020 election is the story of a Democratic Party at odds with itself, torn between the single-minded goal of removing Donald Trump and the push for a bold progressive agenda that threatened to alienate as many voters as it drew.--Amazon.com.

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Subjects
Published
New York, NY : Crown [2021]
Language
English
Main Author
Jonathan Allen (author)
Other Authors
Amie Parnes (author)
Edition
First edition
Physical Description
xxiii, 498 pages ; 25 cm
Bibliography
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN
9780525574224
  • Prologue
  • "You know me"
  • "We avoided that misstep, but not all of them"
  • Reform or revolution?
  • "This is just a bunch of bullshit!"
  • "You forgot Biden"
  • Lucky strike
  • Panic! at the caucus
  • Circular firing squads
  • "None of us knew if there was going to be a campaign"
  • Firewall
  • "The old white guy walks away with the prize"
  • The passenger
  • "It's all turning"
  • Law and disorder
  • The keys to Tulsa
  • Head or heart
  • Unconventional summer
  • The invisible enemy
  • Do no harm
  • Black clover.
Review by Publisher's Weekly Review

Fortunate breaks allowed Joe Biden to overcome a slow start, uneven stump performances, and shoddy fundraising on his way to the White House, according to this familiar rehash of the 2020 election. Among the fortunate twists of fate, journalists Allen and Parnes (Shattered: Inside Hillary Clinton's Doomed Campaign) point to a technological glitch that allowed Biden to temporarily hide his disastrous fourth place finish in the Iowa caucuses; Elizabeth Warren's evisceration of Michael Bloomberg, Biden's main rival for centrist Democrats, on a Las Vegas debate stage; and Rep. James Clyburn's unexpectedly emotional endorsement of Biden ahead of the South Carolina primary. But at least one Biden staffer privately admits that the luckiest break was Covid-19, which took the air out of the Democratic primary right after Biden's Super Tuesday victory and gave him a credible reason to "lay low" while President Trump bungled the response to the pandemic. Allen and Parnes shed light on President Obama's doubts that Biden could win, and reveal that Hillary Clinton gave "serious consideration" to entering the race in November 2019. But much of the analysis will be old hat to news junkies, and attempts to add color (Bernie Sanders played catch with his advisors; Jill Biden sipped "fine wine") mostly fall flat. The result is a well-sourced yet unenlightening run-through of recent history. (Mar.)

(c) Copyright PWxyz, LLC. All rights reserved
Review by Kirkus Book Review

A probing history of the 2020 presidential race. Building on Shattered, their excellent account of Hillary Clinton's failed 2016 campaign, Allen and Parnes attribute much of the success of the Biden campaign to a combination of fortuitous events. In some ways, Biden was a weaker candidate than Clinton, as his age, demeanor, and tendency to make faux pas statements weighed against him. Though the race was tighter than any Democratic campaigner would have liked, Biden's opponent was Donald Trump, whose character flaws and scandal-plagued administration far surpassed any of Biden's shortcomings. For instance, though Trump was advised countless times to attempt to show empathy for the victims of the pandemic, which he repeatedly called a hoax, he refused to do so for fear of appearing weak. Trump also believed that "there were millions of Trumpsters out there who just hadn't voted for him yet." He may have had a point, but Biden still beat him by 7 million votes. Biden's good fortune also owed to the failings of those who faced him in the primary, and, as the authors clearly show, it was the result of significant effort on the parts of Black organizers and voters, particularly Stacey Abrams, who emerges here as a superbly effective political savant who withheld her endorsement of Biden until it was clear that he would be the candidate. Other news in these pages: Though Barack Obama proclaimed Biden as his brother, the authors write that he "had worried that his friend would embarrass himself on the campaign trail" and didn't call to congratulate him until the networks finally declared the election on Nov. 7. In the end, in 2020, Biden "caught every imaginable break." As one staffer noted, "if President Trump had just acknowledged there was a virus, even midway in August or September, acknowledged this is a fucked-up situation, and pivoted, we would have gotten crushed." A must-read for politics junkies, with plenty of lessons on how not to run a campaign. Copyright (c) Kirkus Reviews, used with permission.

Copyright (c) Kirkus Reviews, used with permission.

Author's Note The day before we finished work on this book, President Donald Trump incited his followers to march to the Capitol, storm into the people's house, and commit acts of terrorism against the United States of America. We were enraged and heartbroken over the meaningless violence, the desecration of the Capitol Building--where we have spent years reporting on Congress--and the attempt to defile our democracy. As the meeting place of the first branch of American government--the branch closest to the citizenry--the Capitol is both the heart of our republic and the most recognizable symbol of democracy across the globe. Any attack on it is an assault on our liberty, our popular sovereignty, our culture, and our way of life. Sadly, the president found aid and comfort in the voices and votes of a shocking number of Republican lawmakers willing to support his delusional and dangerous attempt to overturn the will of the electorate. He was not robbed. There was no fraud. He tried to deny the American people their sacred right to self-governance by every means available to him. We have no doubt that barrels of ink will be spilled on Trump's failed effort to subvert democracy and cling to power in contravention of the rule of law. Likewise, journalists and historians will have their hands full examining the abnormalities and perversities of Trump's presidency, right through a lame-duck period defined by desperation and denial. This book is about the reality of the 2020 election. It is about Joe Biden's victory over Trump. We believe that the health of our republic rests on an informed citizenry having as much accurate information as possible, and this book takes readers behind the scenes of the Biden campaign, the Trump campaign, and the campaigns of several of Biden's Democratic primary rivals. It is the story of a candidate whose life, politics, and message best met the moment, as judged by the collective wisdom of the 155 million-plus Americans who cast ballots. Biden's victory was conclusive, but, at the same time, it was also very, very close--closer than Democrats or independent prognosticators expected. While it is valuable to look at the popular vote totals to gauge national sentiment--Biden's 81 million-plus votes were a record--presidential elections are decided by the electoral college. Candidates and their aides steer campaigns with that in mind, competing almost exclusively in a handful of swing states that effectively determine the winner. That system is unjust in the eyes of many Americans, but it is enshrined in the Constitution and cannot be changed without two-thirds votes in each chamber of Congress and ratification by three-quarters of the states. Not only is the Electoral College here to stay for the foreseeable future, but Biden won, without any doubt, under its rules. He did that by articulating a rationale for his candidacy that focused on what he was uniquely positioned to deliver for the American people. It was premised not on a complex set of policy initiatives, but on a simple promise to restore "the soul of this nation." In his third bid for the presidency, he bet that voters would turn away from the trend of electing outsider candidates vowing to change the system and toward an insider who could improve their lives by applying his experience and values to that system. Biden presented himself as a man of character, compassion, and competence--traits he portrayed as absent in Trump--and he stuck to his story through both a brutal Democratic primary that almost knocked him out and a general election that unfolded against the backdrop of a plague and societal upheaval over systemic racial injustice. But all along the way, Biden caught breaks--at the Iowa caucuses, in the pivotal South Carolina primary, and from an incumbent president who mishandled the major crisis he faced. Those breaks, which he capitalized on, contributed to his victory. But after all the votes were counted, Biden was hardly alone in finding himself fortunate. During the election, and in its aftermath, the nation's institutions and its democratic values were put under extreme duress. The Founding Fathers fashioned a republic that could keep power dispersed, meet the exigencies of any moment, and withstand enormous pressures by bending without breaking. Their glorious architecture held firm to ensure the transfer of power to a duly elected president. Luck, it has been said, is the residue of design. It was for Joe Biden, and for the republic. --Jonathan Allen & Amie Parnes, January 2021 Excerpted from Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won the Presidency by Jonathan Allen, Amie Parnes All rights reserved by the original copyright owners. Excerpts are provided for display purposes only and may not be reproduced, reprinted or distributed without the written permission of the publisher.